As India assesses Pakistan’s possible next steps, it needs to review its strategic achievements so far, and assess whether they will have lasting consequences for curbing terrorism originating from Pakistan against India
Given the army’s high profile in Pakistan, it was unlikely to call it quits after its government made unconfirmed claims that it had downed five Indian fighter aircraft and a drone. So, the missile attack on military sites on May 8 would have come as no surprise to India.
It is quite possible that the military action may go well beyond calculated and restrained retaliation, and force India to take countermeasures — initiating a dangerous climb up the escalatory ladder.
As India assesses Pakistan’s possible next steps, it needs to review its strategic achievements so far, and assess whether they will have lasting consequences for curbing terrorism originating from Pakistan against India.
Pakistan claims that it has brought down three Rafales, one SU-30, and a MiG-29 of the Indian Air Force, if true, will bring losses running to a few thousand crores. A day later, news reports quoted government sources that India had downed three Pakistani jets — one F-16 and two JF-17s made in China.
The Pakistan Army has, through its retaliation, saved face and bolstered its sagging public image. India, on the other hand, has released videos of the night sky in Jaisalmer being lit up with anti-aircraft gun fire on the night of May 8. In the fog of war and its accompanying psyops, it is difficult to ascertain these claims by the respective governments….
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